Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.000042 0.000045 0.000047 0.000049 0.000052 0.000055 0.000058
2025-05-18 0.000040 0.000044 0.000047 0.000051 0.000056 0.000060 0.000066
2025-05-25 0.000037 0.000041 0.000045 0.000050 0.000055 0.000062 0.000069
2025-06-01 0.000034 0.000038 0.000043 0.000048 0.000054 0.000062 0.000071
2025-06-08 0.000033 0.000037 0.000042 0.000048 0.000055 0.000064 0.000075
2025-06-15 0.000032 0.000036 0.000042 0.000049 0.000057 0.000067 0.000081
2025-06-22 0.000030 0.000035 0.000040 0.000047 0.000056 0.000067 0.000082
2025-06-29 0.000028 0.000033 0.000039 0.000046 0.000055 0.000066 0.000082
2025-07-06 0.000027 0.000031 0.000037 0.000044 0.000053 0.000065 0.000081
2025-07-13 0.000025 0.000030 0.000035 0.000042 0.000052 0.000064 0.000081
2025-07-20 0.000024 0.000029 0.000034 0.000041 0.000051 0.000063 0.000081
2025-07-27 0.000024 0.000028 0.000034 0.000041 0.000051 0.000065 0.000084
2025-08-03 0.000023 0.000028 0.000034 0.000042 0.000052 0.000067 0.000089
2025-08-10 0.000023 0.000028 0.000034 0.000043 0.000055 0.000072 0.000098
2025-08-17 0.000022 0.000027 0.000033 0.000042 0.000054 0.000072 0.000099
2025-08-24 0.000021 0.000026 0.000032 0.000041 0.000053 0.000071 0.000099
2025-08-31 0.000020 0.000025 0.000032 0.000041 0.000054 0.000073 0.000103
2025-09-07 0.000020 0.000025 0.000032 0.000041 0.000055 0.000075 0.000109
2025-09-14 0.000019 0.000024 0.000031 0.000040 0.000054 0.000075 0.000110
2025-09-21 0.000018 0.000023 0.000030 0.000039 0.000053 0.000073 0.000109
2025-09-28 0.000018 0.000022 0.000028 0.000037 0.000051 0.000071 0.000107
2025-10-05 0.000017 0.000021 0.000027 0.000036 0.000050 0.000070 0.000105
2025-10-12 0.000016 0.000021 0.000026 0.000035 0.000049 0.000069 0.000105